Will the Federal Reserve raise rates at least once in 2026?
Event Details
The market tracks the target federal-funds range upper bound from the start of 2026 through the December meeting.
- Status: open
- Volume: 8.75M
- Liquidity: 139.54K
- Best bid: 70%
- Best ask: 71%
Outcomes
- Yes 70.5%
- No 29.5%
Resolution Rules
Yes if the target-range upper bound rises above its January 1, 2026 level after any decision through the December 8-9 meeting; otherwise No, using official Fed decisions.