Bank of Canada September decision: complete guide to the 2.25% call

Bank of Canada September decision: complete guide to the 2.25% call

Event Details

The September 2 decision follows five holds at 2.25%. Review the 82% starting probability and the exact official-rate settlement test.

Information source

Bank of Canada policy interest rate

Outcomes

  • Yes 82%
  • No 18%

Resolution Rules

Resolve Yes if the official September 2 announcement states an overnight-rate target of exactly 2.25%; any increase or decrease resolves No. Missing, conflicting, or corrected official records stay under manual review.

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