UK August inflation in-depth: will CPI reach 3.0%?

UK August inflation in-depth: will CPI reach 3.0%?

Event Details

An in-depth look at the September 16 ONS release, July's 2.9% reading, the 56% opening probability, and settlement on the first August CPI annual rate.

Information source

Consumer price inflation, UK

Outcomes

  • Yes 56%
  • No 44%

Resolution Rules

Use the first ONS August 2026 consumer inflation bulletin. An all-items CPI annual rate of 3.0% or above resolves Yes; below 3.0% resolves No. Later revisions and third-party rounding are excluded.

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