Latest prediction: Will Australia's Q2 2026 GDP stay positive?

Latest prediction: Will Australia's Q2 2026 GDP stay positive?

Event Details

An in-depth look at the September 2 release, the 0.2% nowcast, 70% opening probability, and settlement using the ABS quarterly real-GDP measure.

Information source

Australian National Accounts, June quarter 2026

Outcomes

  • Yes 70%
  • No 30%

Resolution Rules

Resolve Yes if the first ABS June-quarter National Accounts release reports chain-volume GDP growth above 0.0% quarter on quarter. Zero or less resolves No; annual growth and later revisions do not govern.

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