In-depth analysis of Swiss Q2 GDP holding above 1.0%

In-depth analysis of Swiss Q2 GDP holding above 1.0%

Event Details

An in-depth review of the September 3 release, 1.5% official flash estimate, 86% opening probability, and SECO's sporting-event-adjusted real-GDP test.

Information source

Quarterly estimates of Swiss GDP, second quarter 2026

Outcomes

  • Yes 86%
  • No 14%

Resolution Rules

Resolve Yes if the first September 3 regular result is at least 1.0% quarter on quarter. Below 1.0% is No. Do not use the flash estimate, an unadjusted series, or later revisions.

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