Latest prediction: Can UK July 2026 GDP stay positive?

Latest prediction: Can UK July 2026 GDP stay positive?

Event Details

A complete look at the September 11 release, June's 0.3% gain, the 57% opening probability, and settlement using the first ONS monthly real-GDP figure.

Information source

GDP monthly estimate, UK: July 2026

Outcomes

  • Yes 57%
  • No 43%

Resolution Rules

Resolve Yes if the first ONS July release reports monthly real-GDP growth above 0.0%. Zero or a negative figure is No. Do not use the three-month rate, annual growth, or later revisions.

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