Full analysis of Canada's August unemployment rate and 6.5% line

Full analysis of Canada's August unemployment rate and 6.5% line

Event Details

A complete look at the September 4 release, July's 6.4% rate and 75,000 gain, the 50% opening probability, and settlement from Statistics Canada's first national figure.

Information source

Labour Force Survey, August 2026

Outcomes

  • Yes 50%
  • No 50%

Resolution Rules

Resolve Yes if the first August LFS reports a seasonally adjusted national rate of at least 6.5%; below 6.5% is No. Provincial, youth, unadjusted, and later revised figures do not count.

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