Latest prediction for August U.S. CPI: complete 0.3% guide

Latest prediction for August U.S. CPI: complete 0.3% guide

Event Details

Analyze the September 11 U.S. CPI release, the 64% probability, Cleveland Fed's 0.36% nowcast, and settlement on the first BLS monthly headline only.

Information source

Consumer Price Index — August 2026 release schedule

Outcomes

  • Yes 64%
  • No 36%

Resolution Rules

Resolve Yes at a first-published BLS seasonally adjusted all-items CPI-U monthly change of 0.3% or more and No below 0.3%. Core CPI, annual inflation, and later revisions do not count.

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