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Markets

• Will the Bab el-Mandeb Strait be effectively closed by August 31?
• Will NATO and Russia have a direct military clash by August 31, 2026?
• Latest prediction: Will Trump cease being US president by September 30?
• Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
• Latest prediction: Will formal US–Iran talks begin by September 30?
• Will AfD win an absolute majority in Saxony-Anhalt's 2026 state election?
• US End of Iranian Blockade Prediction
• In-depth: Will China’s president enter the United States by September 23?
• Will Nigel Farage receive 60% to 70% of valid votes in the Clacton by-election?
• Will NATO invoke Article 4 again by August 31, 2026?
• Will Likud win the most seats in Israel's 2026 Knesset election?
• Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York governor election?
• Will Armenia and Azerbaijan formally sign a peace treaty by the end of 2026?
• Will New Zealand's National Party receive more party votes than Labour in the 2026 election?
• Will South Sudan hold a general election by December 31, 2026?
• Will the next United Nations Secretary-General be a woman?
• Will Republicans retain control of the U.S. House after the 2026 midterms?
• Will a COP31 final decision include the phrase “transitioning away from fossil fuels”?
• Will Trump sign the Graham sanctions bill?
• Will Arkansas Library Material Restriction Law Take Effect in 2026?