In-depth look at Anthropic's 99.1% Arena lead
Event Details
An in-depth review of the August 31 check, 99.1% live probability, about $511,345 in real volume, Arena ranking rules, and unique Gamma/UMA settlement.
- Status: settled
- Volume: 526.71K
- Liquidity: 0
- Best bid: 99.9%
- Best ask: 100%
Final Result
Yes
Outcomes
- Yes 99.9%
- No 0.1%
Resolution Rules
Use Models with style control off and Rank first, then unrounded Arena score for ties. Automatic settlement also needs Gamma closed, UMA resolved, one unique outcome at 1, and two matching checks.