Latest prediction for Anthropic's Arena lead: full analysis

Latest prediction for Anthropic's Arena lead: full analysis

Event Details

Review the September 30 check, 86.0% live probability, about $373,441 real volume, and Arena, Gamma, and UMA settlement.

Outcomes

  • Yes 85.5%
  • No 14.5%

Resolution Rules

Filter Models with style control off: use Rank, then unrounded score, then company alphabetically. Automation also requires closed Gamma, resolved UMA, and one unique outcome.

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