US-Iran nuclear pact in 2026: full analysis
Event Details
Explains the year-end deadline, current 9.5% probability and measurable nuclear-limit test; settlement needs one completed Gamma/UMA result.
- Status: open
- Volume: 3.83M
- Liquidity: 178.64K
- Best bid: 10%
- Best ask: 12%
Outcomes
- Yes 11%
- No 89%
Resolution Rules
Yes needs mutual signature or formal adoption by 11:59 PM ET on December 31 plus at least one concrete measurable nuclear limit; wait for a completed unique Gamma/UMA outcome.