UK September GDP: latest forecast and full analysis
Event Details
September GDP first estimate arrives November 12; current probability 60%. Settlement uses the ONS first month-on-month real GDP figure above zero.
Information source
ONS GDP monthly estimate release calendar and August bulletin
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 60%
- No 40%
Resolution Rules
Yes if first-released, seasonally adjusted September real GDP growth exceeds zero; No if zero or negative. Ignore later revisions.