October US CPI: latest prediction and 0.3% analysis

October US CPI: latest prediction and 0.3% analysis

Event Details

October CPI is due November 10; current probability 55%. Settle on the first BLS seasonally adjusted headline monthly figure at or above 0.3%.

Information source

BLS CPI release schedule and September CPI report

Outcomes

  • Yes 55%
  • No 45%

Resolution Rules

Yes if the first October CPI-U All items seasonally adjusted monthly figure is at least 0.3%; No at 0.2% or less. Ignore revisions.

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