Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31, 2026?
Event Details
The market requires a formal Hamas announcement of disarmament in the Gaza Strip.
- Status: open
- Volume: 1.77M
- Liquidity: 41.17K
- Best bid: 5%
- Best ask: 7%
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%
Resolution Rules
Resolve Yes if Hamas's widely acknowledged leadership formally announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that it will relinquish or dismantle all or part of its military in Gaza. Informal, contingent, or non-policy statements do not qualify. Use official Hamas statements or broad credible-reporting consensus.