Will Strait of Hormuz shipping traffic return to normal by September 30, 2026?
Event Details
The market defines normalization as IMF PortWatch's seven-day moving average of transit calls reaching 60.
- Status: open
- Volume: 7.77M
- Liquidity: 355.38K
- Best bid: 1.9%
- Best ask: 2%
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98.1%
Resolution Rules
Resolve Yes if IMF PortWatch publishes a Strait of Hormuz seven-day moving average of transit calls at least 60 for any date through September 30; otherwise No. Allow up to 14 days for final data.