Will Renan Santos win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
Event Details
The active public market currently prices Yes at 2.95%; this candidate contract has about $10.98 million in total real volume and $209,000 traded in 24 hours.
- Status: open
- Volume: 12.68M
- Liquidity: 446.44K
- Best bid: 1.9%
- Best ask: 2%
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98.1%
Resolution Rules
Resolve Yes if Renan Santos wins Brazil's 2026 presidential election, including any runoff; resolve No if another candidate wins. The principal factual source is the official result published by Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE), which controls if reporting is ambiguous. If the result is still not known by June 30, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the source event resolves to Other and this binary market correspondingly resolves No. Automatic settlement on this site also requires Gamma closed, UMA resolved, one unique outcome priced at 1, and two consecutive matching checks.