Will the U.S. Senate pass the S. 5271 voter photo-ID bill by September 30?
Event Details
On August 8 the Senate rejected cloture to advance S. 5271 by 52-46, eight votes short of the 60-vote threshold; this event starts with an 18% Yes probability.
Information source
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 18%
- No 82%
Resolution Rules
Resolve Yes only if the official U.S. Senate Legislative Information System records a final passage vote on S. 5271 with the result Passed by 11:59:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026; otherwise resolve No after the deadline. Cloture, a motion to proceed, an amendment vote, scheduling, or passage of another measure does not qualify. The deterministic adapter matches measure S. 5271, question On Passage, and result Passed in Senate LIS. Unavailable, conflicting, or ambiguous official records remain under manual review.