Full analysis of Sweden's election: latest 175-seat prediction

Full analysis of Sweden's election: latest 175-seat prediction

Event Details

Explore Sweden's September 13 election, the 57% probability, all 349 seats, and settlement on the Election Authority's final four-party seat total.

Information source

Official 2026 Riksdag election results

Outcomes

  • Yes 57%
  • No 43%

Resolution Rules

Resolve Yes if the Election Authority's final Riksdag allocation gives S, V, MP and C at least 175 seats combined and No at 174 or fewer. Use final national seats, not vote share, media blocs, or local elections.

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