Latest prediction for Switzerland's neutrality vote: complete guide

Latest prediction for Switzerland's neutrality vote: complete guide

Event Details

Review the 35% starting probability, two August polls, and the dual popular-and-cantonal majority required on September 27.

Information source

Federal popular vote of 27 September 2026

Outcomes

  • Yes 35%
  • No 65%

Resolution Rules

Yes only if the official federal result records both a popular majority and a cantonal majority; otherwise No. Corrections before final certification stay under review.

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