Merz leaving office before 2027: latest prediction
Event Details
Explains the year-end deadline, current 15.5% probability and formal exit-announcement rule; final settlement waits for one completed Gamma/UMA outcome.
- Status: open
- Volume: 2.42M
- Liquidity: 67.61K
- Best bid: 4%
- Best ask: 4.8%
Outcomes
- Yes 4.4%
- No 95.6%
Resolution Rules
Yes if he leaves office or formally announces resignation or removal before the deadline; otherwise No. Settle only after Gamma/UMA shows one completed unambiguous outcome.