Complete guide to Alberta's 2026 referendum odds
Event Details
Explains the current 9.4% chance, roughly $291,309 volume, the 2026 deadline and held-and-passed test; final settlement awaits Gamma/UMA.
- Status: open
- Volume: 499.68K
- Liquidity: 57.20K
- Best bid: 2.6%
- Best ask: 2.8%
Outcomes
- Yes 2.7%
- No 97.3%
Resolution Rules
Yes only if a qualifying independence referendum is held and passes by December 31, 2026; otherwise No. Await completed Gamma/UMA settlement.